Four Keys to Stopping McCain
Posted: Monday, February 04, 2008
by Terry Mitchell
http://commenterry.blogs.com
John McCain must be tripped up on Super Tuesday or the Republican Party will be in imminent danger of having this apostate become its presidential nominee. With all of his current momentum, he will be difficult to stop -- but it can be done. Now, I'll start with the assumption that McCain will win New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and his home state of Arizona; Mitt Romney will win Utah, Colorado, and his home state of Massachusetts; and Mike Huckabee will win his home state of Arkansas. With those assumptions in mind, I believe there are four keys to stopping McCain on Super Tuesday.
Second, either Romney or Huckabee must win in Missouri, which is a winner-take-all state. The polls currently show a tight race in Missouri among McCain, Romney, and Huckabee. Missouri is important because Romney and Huckabee can't afford to let McCain win so many of those winner-take-all, as he won Florida last week and will likely win New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Arizona -- all winner-take-all states -- on Super Tuesday.
Third, Romney must win all or most of the caucus states on Super Tuesday. These states include Alaska, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia. Romney has targeted these states because GOP caucus states -- as evidenced in Iowa, Nevada, and Maine -- tend to attract participants who are extremely conservative. For this reason, John McCain has not performed well in caucus states.
Fourth, Romney and Huckabee need to at least have strong second and third place finishes in the southern and Midwestern states of Alabama, Georgia, Illinois, Oklahoma, and Tennessee. All of these states award their delegates proportionally, so Romney and Huckabee do not necessarily have to win any of them, although it would be nice if they could pick off one or two. McCain is leading in each but, with the exception of Illinois, his lead is in single digits. By staying close in each, Romney and Huckabee could greatly limit McCain's delegate take in those states.
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Top-level comments on this article: (2 total)Here it is as you know Terry, McCain / Hucabee, Clinton / Obama and God help us all. About the only thing I like about any of them is the fair tax! . best wishes RTM.
Terry, I thought I'd write again and say that I have been giving a lot of thought to this race as many are. I'm still for changing everyone in Congress as the only real solution and I really don't like any of the candidates but I am becoming more fixed on Huckerbee. I did not like His stance on immigration and I am still not sold he won't flip if he ever gets into office. But he is not a Washington insider as of right now and he hasn't been and the only one of them all, so push come to shove he is the choice I would lean to, unless there is some real good third party type and I don't believe that will happen. That would not saccrifice my values while doing what I stated when it comes to Congress. As for the rest all Birds of a Feather.
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