Terry Mitchell

Why the Professional Political Pundits Are Often Wrong



Posted: Thursday, October 06, 2011

by Terry Mitchell
http://commenterry.blogs.com

Have you ever wondered why those professional political analysts and pundits are often wrong, despite the fact that they are paid good money to get it right? I think it’s because they have a habit of focusing on the wrong stuff, such as a candidate’s ability to raise money, their organizational prowess, the size of their campaign staff, and their connections with other powerful people. They are so hung up on that kind of stuff that they sometimes miss more nuanced things, such as a candidate’s ability to connect with voters.

The current situation surrounding GOP presidential candidate Herman Cain is a prime example of what I’m talking about. Mr. Cain is currently surging in the polls, yet he is still flying under the radar of most of the national media. In the last four national polls of the GOP candidates that I have seen, Cain has placed as follows (in chronological order): tied for second, second, tied for first, and first.

In addition, four state polls, for Georgia, North Carolina, West Virginia, and Nebraska, were released on Tuesday. In each of these polls, Cain placed first, with Newt Gingrich second, Mitt Romney third, and Rick Perry fourth. In three of these states, Cain enjoyed a double digit lead over Gingrich, including a 24-point lead in Gingrich’s home state of Georgia.

However, during a popular morning show on NBC yesterday, that network’s chief political analyst provided his analysis of the GOP field without even mentioning Cain’s name! What's Herman Cain, chopped liver? And this came on the heels of the national media’s almost complete dismissal of Cain’s landslide victories in straw polls in Florida and Missouri. In spite of Cain’s surge, they still just want to focus on Romney and Perry. They just don’t get it! That’s why they’ll keep getting it wrong.
Terry Mitchell is a software engineer, freelance writer, amateur political analyst, and blogger from Virginia, USA. He posts a least one article a day to his blog - http://commenterry.blogs.com - on subjects such as current events, politics, technology, society and culture, religion, health and well-being, self improvement, personal finance, trivia, and sports. He is also the owner of a new privacy-enhanced search engine - http://www.SearchMost.com.

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Top-level comments on this article: (1 total)
» left by Steve Kovacs 221 days 10 hours ago.
96 fans. Follow Steve Kovacs on twitter!
Well said and true in my opinion.
» left by Terry Mitchell 221 days 5 hours ago.
93 fans.
Steve, I'm glad you agree. Thanks for reading and commenting.
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